“Strategy without tactics is the slowest route to victory. Tactics without strategy is the noise before defeat.” – Sun Tzu. Basically, Russian milbloggers are now running the War for Russia…
(NOTE: sorry about the repeat post/s .. am having Blog, Google and Twitter issues mixed wid slow internet connection whilst trying to fix them.)
The ‘Big Bad Russian Bear‘ had no Strategy, just a Tactic, i.e., to charge blindly into the sovereign nation of Ukraine wid the expectation that Ukraine would just roll over.
Thanks to Mikhail Gorbachev, who led the dissolution of the Soviet Union, the Russian people were able to experience freedom for the first time in the history of Russia. Not total freedom, of course, but enough of a ‘Taste‘ that they will never forgive ‘Paper Bear‘ Putin for taking it away from them.
It has been obvious since day-2 of the Russian invasion that Russia’s Military had been previously overrated by all. They were unable to gain control of the sky. They were even unable to communicate wid each other, forcing the Military at the front to use their own cellphones to communicate wid, which led to them giving away their positions to the Ukrainians. Etcetera etcetera etcetera.
However, they have been able to LOSE:
Russians must now get rid of Putin’s Russian Fascists, and end Rashism. How else will they ever be able to get another ‘Taste‘ of freedom?!
Why Russia’s strategic defeat is in the cards:
Bershidsky ignores internal Russian developments and focuses only on what the West, and Ukraine, might do vis-à-vis Russia. The oversight is typical for scholars and analysts in the “neorealist” school of though; the University of Chicago’s John Mearsheimer is perhaps the most prominent example.
The reality is that Russia — as a state and as a regime — is profoundly weak. The economy, one of the world’s least impressive performers, is in a tailspin. The much-vaunted army has proven to be a paper tiger. The society is increasingly dissatisfied with declining living conditions, growing numbers of body bags, and the regime’s indifference to the fact that at least 65,000 Russian soldiers reportedly have died and at least as many are out of commission. Up to a million men have fled mobilization and certain death in Ukraine. Generals and secret policemen are at each other’s throats, hoping to shift the blame for the disastrous war from themselves.
Political and economic elites are also unhappy with the current state of affairs and talk of alternatives to Putin’s leadership has become commonplace. Putin, the linchpin of the state and regime, is manifestly weak and his legitimacy is hemorrhaging. Russians have taken to violence and armed resistance, fire-bombing draft boards, destroying railroad tracks, derailing trains, and vandalizing posters, flags and Russian symbols. None of these factors bespeaks a healthy, thriving, strong Russian regime or state.
As if this weren’t enough, the Russian Federation’s many non-Russian nations are getting visibly restive. Chechens, Circassians, Buryats, Kalmyks and Dagestanis have protested actively against mobilization. The Bashkirs, whose republic is rich with mineral resources, have established oppositionist groups — the Bashkir National Political Center and the Bashkir Resistance Committee — that have accused the Russian authorities of genocide and called for independence.
All in all, the possibility of manifold non-Russian nationalist movements arising, demanding and seizing independence is anything but far-fetched — especially as the Russian economy, regime and battlefield performance continue to degrade.
Internal Russian weakness and continued systemic decay mean that Russia will impose a strategic defeat on itself. There is no need for the West to invade or actively promote strategic defeat. All that’s needed is a continuation of the status quo: Ukrainian military success, Western support of Ukraine, and Russia’s internal decay.
Putin is destroying the Russia he created. A different Russia, a better Russia, is possible only if Putin goes and his Russia collapses. There’s little for the West to do but sit back, read Bershidsky’s analyses, and watch Putin’s fascism go up in flames.
“watch Putin’s fascism go up in flames,” e.g., this:
Fury as director of Russia’s state-funded TV network RT suggests Ukrainian children should be drowned or burned – sparking station’s own editor-in-chief to condemn his comments as ‘wild and disgusting’
That is what happens when you are clearly losing the war you started, and then directors of Russia’s state-funded TV networks and/or Russian milbloggers start telling you how to run the War.
Will also be posting this to my Big Brother Report blog…
Big Brother is WATCHING YOU – ‘There were five forms of governance that migrated from theory to reality in the 20th Century: Socialism, Communism, Fascism, Nazism and Progressivism. The common denominator among them was unprecedented control and regulation by the State over human activity. It is delusional to think that the Totalitarian impulse expired with the 20th Century.’ – E. Nuff Said